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Base rate cut and growth forecast downgraded

westminster undergroungBBC news 5th February 2025

 

At midday, the Bank of England cut interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5% - but that's not all we learned today:

  • The Bank's base rate is now at its lowest since June 2023 - and two of the nine committee members voted for a bigger cut
  • The Bank also cut its growth forecast for the UK economy from 1.5% to 0.75% for this year
  • Inflation is forecast to rise, peaking at 3.7% later this year, which the Bank says is due to increases in the cost of energy, water and bus fares
  • The forecasts say inflation will reach the Bank's 2% target towards the end of 2027 - about six months later than previously thought
  • On the reduced growth forecast, PM Keir Starmer says: "We were never going to turn this around in six or seven months - that just spurs us on"
  • The Conservatives say the "disastrous Budget is likely to mean fewer rate cuts this year than previously anticipated"
  • Base rate cut and growth forecast downgraded

     Line chart showing interest rates in the UK from Jan 2020 to February 2025. At the start of January 2020, rates were at 0.75%. They fell to 0.1% by March in response to the Covid pandemic, and stayed there until late 2021. From there, they gradually climbed to a high of 5.25% in August 2023, before being cut to 5% in August 2024, and to 4.75% in November 2024. On 19 December 2024, they were held at 4.75%, before being cut to 4.5% on 6 February 2025.

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